kent_allard_jr: (Default)
kent_allard_jr ([personal profile] kent_allard_jr) wrote2010-09-20 01:32 pm
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Fun with Bayes!

I'm always happy when xkcd does stat jokes:

'Dude, wait -- I'm not American! So my risk is basically zero!'

I may talk about Bayes' Theorem in class this semester (the first time I'll be doing so). For those who enjoy these little games... Assume only 1 in 2 million Americans knows 'that statistic.' If you walk down the road and find an American killed by lightening, what's the chance that he knew it?

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